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PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME: ESSA 2019 BIENNIAL CONFERENCE

In association with PPS

TUESDAY 3 SEPT TO THURSDAY 5 SEPT 2019, BIRCHWOOD HOTEL & CONFERENCE CENTRE, JOHANNESBURG

(Last updated 2019-09-03 07:57:42)

Full papers may be downloaded from this page by logged-in conference participants.

Tuesday08:00 - 09:00
Atrium centre
Registration
Tuesday09:00 - 09:45
Baobab
Welcome: Mr Isak Smit of PPS and Waldo Krugell for ESSA
Tuesday09:45 - 10:30 Coffee & tea
Tuesday10:30 - 12:00Parallel Sessions A
Session A1
Fiscal and
Monetary policy
in South Africa

Ash

Adriaan Slabbbert and Gavin Keeton, Investment-grade or "junk" status: do sovereign credit ratings really matter?

Philippe Burger and Estian Calitz, Sustainable Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in South Africa

Lumkile Mondi, Where did all the money go? Fiscal policy and Monetary policy implementation after the global economic and financial crisis

Jannie Rossouw and Vishnu Padayachee, The independence of the SA Reserve Bank: Full circle in 25 years?

Session A2
Labour market
Beech

Derek Yu, Employment quality index for the South African labour market

Thamsanqa Reginald Mtshengu, The Motherhood Wage Penalty in South Africa

Anmar Pretorius, Derick Blaauw, Carli Bezuidenhout and Marianne Matthee, Offshoring within South African manufacturing firms: An analysis of the labour market effects

Leon Matsuro and Neil Rankin, Risk preferences and job mobility in Zimbabwe

Session A3
Agriculture and
the environment

Palm

Jean-luc Mubenga-tshitaka, Dambala Gelo Kutela and Johane Dikgang, Adapting to climate change in the rainfed farming systems in Eastern Africa: a support vector machine analysis

Thomas Ferreira, Isis Gaddis, Amparo Amparo Palacios-lopez and Janneke Pieters, Gender and Vulnerability to Weather Shocks in Smallholder agriculture

Amanda Musandiwa, Johane Dikgang and Sunita Prugsamatz Ofstadz, Carbon labels on meat: Experimental evidence from South Africa

Nicholas Kilimani, Household nutrition effects of crop commercialization in Uganda

Session A4
Growth and
development

Jacaranda

Shonisani Mphinyana and Matthew Ocran, Determinants of economic growth in the post-1994 South Africa

Thabo Mbeleki, Glenn Hoggarth and Carlos van Hombeeck, Capital account liberalisation and policy frameworks in South Africa

Meshach Jesse Aziakpono, Growth, Productivity and Structural Transformation in Zambia

Pavitra Dhamija, Economic Development and South Africa: Review of Last 25 years

Session A5
Institutions
Yellowwood

Carolyn Chisadza, Leaders and tenures

Oluwaseyi A. Adelowokan, Sheriffdeen Tella and Ibrahim Adekunle, Demographic Responses to Political Transformation in Africa

Tendai Zawaira, Matthew Clance and Carolyn Chisadza, Social Norms and Gender Based Outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa

Paul Gbahabo and Fomun Tita, Does Capital Intensity matter for Income Distribution in South Africa?

Session A6
FDI in Africa
Cedarwood

Reem Elsherif, Charles Adjasi and Michael Graham, Analyzing Foreign Direct Spillovers in Namibia: The Nature and Determinants of Spillovers

Noel Nthangu and Gerry Bokana, Foreign capital inflows and trade openness: A case of selected sub-Saharan Africa countries

Ifeoma Anthonia Iwegbunam, Investigating the Dynamic Relationship between FDI, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in South Africa

Marvellous Ngundu, The impact of China on Africa through the lens of Output Growth and FDI.

Session A7
Manufacturing,
cities and
growth

Cypress

Fonkam Agathe, Assessing the relationship between Innovation and Economic growth at country level.

Tumiso Maitisa, Estimating Total Factor Productivity in the Manufacturing Sector across Municipalities in South Africa

Justin Visagie and Ivan Turok, The economic performance of South African cities: the role of space, sector and skills

Tuesday12:00 - 13:00
Baobab
Presidential address and Biennial General Meeting of ESSA
Tuesday13:00 - 14:00
Boma
Lunch
Tuesday14:00 - 15:30Parallel Sessions B
Session B1
Monetary policy
Ash

Ekaterina Pirozhkova and Nicola Viegi, Credit channel of monetary transmission in South Africa

Thabang Molise and Guangling Liu, The optimal monetary and macroprudential policies in an estimated NK-DSGE Model for South Africa

Nelene Ehlers and Stan du Plessis, The term structure of inflation expectations

Lorenzo Menna, Enzo Dia and Nicola Viegi, The Cyclical Behavior of the Loan-Deposit Ratio

Session B2
Special
session: Gender
and the economy

Beech

Dorrit Posel and Michelle Hatch, Comparing the relationship between sole versus assisted childcare, and subjective well-being in South Africa

Jacqueline Mosomi, An empirical analysis of trends in female labour force participation and the gender wage gap in South Africa

Daniela Casale and Dori Posel, Session on

Nic Spaull and Nwabisa Makaluza, Working Twice as Hard for Half as Much: The Pro-Female Gender Gap in Learning Outcomes in South Africa 1995-2018

Session B3
Households,
health and
poverty

Palm

Sajid Sherif and Claire Vermaak, NEET status and mental health in South Africa: A bidirectional longitudinal analysis

Adeleke Omolade and Josue Mbonigaba, Poverty and Green Economy in South Africa: What is the Nexus?

Heinrich Gerwel, Critical analysis of institutional innovations for pro-poor rural outcomes in the Eastern Cape: a pluralistic approach

Liza-mari Volschenk and Kotie Viljoen, Socioeconomic determinants of households’ curb side recycling behaviour in the Drakenstein Municipality.

Session B4
Monetary
economics,
exchange rates

Jacaranda

Amon Magwiro, Ireen Choga and Teboho Mosikari, Exchange Rate Volatility and Currency Substitution in South Africa- A Portfolio Balance Approach

Simiso Msomi, Expectations of future income and exchnage rate movement

Lwazi Ntshangase, The credit channel of monetary policy transmission in the selected emerging markets

Lutho Mbekeni, Fisher’s Hypothesis from a Disaggregated Perspective for South Africa: Flexible Fourier Form (FFF) unit root tests

Session B5
SMEs
Yellowwood

Thobile Nokuthula Radebe, An Efficiency Analysis of Hair Dressers in Empangeni: The role of infrastructure

Harris Maduku and Irrshad Kaseeram, Success indicators among black owned informal Small Micro and Medium Enterprises’ (SMMEs) in South Africa

Harris Maduku and Irrshad Kaseeram, Socio-economic factors behind mainstreaming willingness among black South African informal SMMEs

Mccpowell Fombang, Innovation and Enterprise Performance: Evidence from selected SADC countries.

Session B6
Public
economics

Cedarwood

Anthony Altbeker, Hermi Boraine and Ronette Engela, What drives public sector compensation spending? How wage indexation, promotions policies and new remuneration models inflated government’s payroll

John Paul Dunne and Christine Makanza, Nonlinear Effects of Military Spending on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Mamosi Bulane and Nthabiseng Koaatsa, Political Economy of Lesotho Fiscal Policy and Fiscal Reaction Functions

Mpoifeng Molefinyane, Should the government hire a corrupt expert?

Session B7
Applied micro:
traffic laws,
plastic bags,
conservation
fees

Cypress

Ada Jansen, Jason Bantjes, Christo Boshoff, Sophia du Plessis and Krige Siebrits, Improving Traffic Law Enforcement in South Africa: Improving knowledge with a survey

Zafeer Shaukat Ally Ravat, Johane Dikgang and Jugal Mahabir, Using contingent behaviour analysis to measure the price elasticity of demand for plastic bags in the city of Johannesburg, South Africa

Sophia du Plessis, Ada Jansen and Krige Siebrits, The Limits Of Laws: Traffic Law Enforcement In South Africa

Brown Gardner and Dikgang Johane, Finding a Best Conservation Park Entry Fee for Kruger National Park

Tuesday15:30 - 16:00 Coffee & tea
Tuesday16:00 - 17:30Parallel Sessions C
Session C1
Monetary policy
Ash

Alain Kabundi, Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi, Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa

Vincent Dadam and Nicola Viegi, Labour Market and Monetary Policy in A Small Open Economy

Cyril Dell'eva and Nicola Viegi, Monetary policy in a small open economy: A focus on exchange rate.

Session C2
SA labour
market

Beech

Ayanda Hlatshwayo, Job mobility and wage growth in South African Manufacturing

Samaa Zien, Colette Muller and Claire Vermaak, The Effect of Language on Labour Market Outcomes for Immigrants and Citizens in South Africa

Armand van Drunick and Jean-pierre Geldenhuys, The Gender Gap in Reservation Wages in South Africa

Aalia Cassim, Regulating the temporary employment sector: The impact of amendments to the Labour Relations Act

Session C3
Special
session: The
use of excise
taxes to
improve public
health

Palm

Micheal Kofi Boachie, Hana Ross and Laura Rossouw, The economic cost of smoking in South Africa

Micheal Kofi Boachie and Hana Ross, Determinants of smoking intensity in South African in Townships

Session C4
Financing
development

Jacaranda

Roseline Misati and Kethi Ngoka, Capital Flows and Stock Market Development in Selected African Countries

Roseline Misati and Anne Kamau, Do migrant remittances matter for financial development in Kenya?

Marvellous Ngundu, Growth effects of Chinese FDI and FDI from other sources in Africa: The role of institutional quality.

Mmamoletji Oniccah Thosago and Ronald Rateiwa, Greasing the wheels of value chain transformation in Africa: What is the role of access to finance in this regard?

Session C5
Infrastructure,
manufacturing,
and also
cartels

Yellowwood

Sanele Gumede, South Africa’s Seaport Governance and Pricing: Dilemmas and Reforms

Elvis Avenyo, Fiona Tregenna and Erika Kraemer-mbula, Medium- and High Technology manufacturing industries, sustainability and economic development in African economies

Fiona Tregenna, Marta Bengoa and Erika Kraemer-mbula, R&D tax credit effectiveness: Evidence from South African manufacturing firms

Tapera Muzata, Insights from South Africa’s twenty-year cartel enforcement record

Session C6
Fiscal
policies,
tariffs,
exchange rates

Cedarwood

Sayed O.m. Timuno and Joel Hinaunye Eita, The impact of fiscal policy on total factor productivity growth in a developing economy: evidence from Botswana

Martin Nandelenga, Fiscal policy and public debt sustainability: Is public debt sustainable in Sub-Sahara Africa?

Michael Takudzwa Pasara, The Boomerang Effects: Pre and post dollarization era in Zimbabwe

Everisto Mugocha and Miracle Benhura, Import Tariffs Pass through Effect and the Spatial Distribution of Domestic Consumer Goods Prices: Zimbabwe (2009-2014)

Session C7
Growth and
development in
Africa

Cypress

Ibrahim A. Adekunle, Grace T. Kalejaiye, Jimoh Ogede and Ayomide Ogunade, Engendering Macroeconomic Policy for Gender Equality in Sub-Saharan African Countries

Ruth Gumede, The Nexus Between Social Spending and Economic Growth : A Cointegration Approach

Amit Achameesing and Meshach Jesse Aziakpono, Does Financial Sector Development Promote Economic Growth in Mauritius? Evidence from ARDL Bounds Test Approach

Mokgadi Rahab Maleka and Mduduzi Biyase, Life expectancy and economic growth: Evidence from the Southern African Development Community

Tuesday18:00 - 
Oak chamber
Cocktail function
Wednesday08:00 - 09:00
Atrium centre
Registration
Wednesday09:00 - 10:00
Baobab
Keynote address: Axel Dreher - The political economy of Chinese aid
Wednesday10:00 - 10:30 Coffee & tea
Wednesday10:30 - 12:00Parallel Sessions D
Session D1
Special
session: SA
business cycle
- Reflections
on SA business
cycle research
and its
relation to the
National
Treasury plan

Ash

Hylton Hollander and Dawie van Lill, On the estimation and application of structural decompositions of the South African business cycle

Willem Boshoff and Stan du Plessis, What do we know about the South African business cycle

Willem Boshoff and Louis Becker, Business cycle recoveries: a comparative view

Iaan Venter, Assessing the 2013 and 2017 business cycle turning points signaled by the SARB’s composite leading business cycle indicator

Session D2
Labour market
Beech

Gibson Mudiriza and Lawrence Edwards, The persistence of apartheid regional wage disparities in South Africa

Derek Yu, Charles Adams and Simba Murozvi, Investigating the landscape for youth entrepreneurs in South Africa's informal sector

John.r.w Foster, Mihalis Chasomeris and Derick Blaauw, Revisiting car guarding as a livelihood in the informal sector

Leon Matsuro and Neil Rankin, Personality traits and labour market outcomes in Zimbabwe

Session D3
Micro:
Experimental
approaches

Palm

Nicky Nicholls, Carolyn Chisadza and Eleni Yitbarek, Fairness is not always intuitive

Calvin Mudzingiri, Indecisiveness on risk preference and time preference choices. Does financial literacy matter?

Frederik Booysen and Sevias Guvuriro, Warm glow or cold prickle: A field experiment on altruism in young South African men and women

Sophia du Plessis, Ada Jansen, Krige Siebrits and Bjoern Hartig, Incentives, rules and perceptions – An Experimental approach on changing perceptions

Session D4
Finance
Jacaranda

Ivan van der Merwe, Finding early warnings of systemic risk in the South African financial system

Trust Mpofu, Macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans in Ghana and Nigeria.

Olalekan Bashir Aworinde and Henry Omotayo Olayemi, Stock Price and Unemployment in Nigeria: An Asymmetric Cointegrating Approach

Asithandile Mbelu, Financial Conditions Indices and Economic Downturn: New Evidence from Developing Economies

Session D5
Human capital
Yellowwood

Patricia Funjika, Inter-generational Transmission of Education, Ethnicity and Historic African Stratification System

Martin Owusu Ansah, Ghana’s single spine pay policy on youth unemployment: Application of the Partial Least Square modelling approach

Antonie Pool, The impact of mining on household welfare in Rustenburg in the North West Province

Adeleke Omolade and Harold Ngalawa, Remittances and Human Capital in the Sub Sahara Africa SSA: 1980-2016

Session D6
Open economies,
exports and FDI

Cedarwood

Ernst Idsardi and Ermie Annelies Steenkamp, Decomposing South Africa's Export Potential

Guendalina Anzolin, Racing with (or without) the machine: Robot adoption and FDI driven transformation in the automotive industry

Sinesipho Siswana, Export diversification, Export specialization on Economic growth of BRICS countries

Marthinus Breitenbach, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance, The Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and economic shocks: Developed vs developing countries

Session D7
SADC: growth,
finance,
manufacturing

Cypress

Chinelo Augustine Umezurike and Stembiso Felix Mthimkhulu, The relationship between the South African manufacturing sector and economic growth

Ntokozo Nzimande, Convergence Clubs in Southern African Development Community

Sinethemba D. Sangweni, Financial Inclusion and Financial Stabilty in the SADC region

Ntaoleng Millicent Molise, Determinants of firm growth in Lesotho’s Manufacturing Sector: An Empirical Evidence

Wednesday12:00 - 13:30Parallel Sessions E
Session E1
Banks and
banking

Ash

Samson Jinya and Vafa Anvari, Modelling Point-in-time Probability of Default for Macroeconomic Stress Testing

Sophie Kasse Kengne and Stephen Hosking, A Resource Dependency Theory Perspective on Low Savings, Cost and Bank Valuation in South Africa

Ronald Rateiwa and Meshach Aziakpono, Banks as enablers of economic growth: What does empirical evidence show in Africa three biggest economies?

Roy Havemann, Lessons from South African bank failures, 1994 to 2019

Session E2
Education in
South Africa

Beech

Montfort Mlachila and Tlhalefang Moeletsi, Struggling to Make the Grade: A Review of the Causes and Consequences of the Weak Outcomes of South Africa’s Education System

Yoseph Getachew, Tuition Grant and Equity--Efficiency Tradeoff in Stages of Higher Education Development

Stephen Taylor and Janeli Kotze, The sustainability of early education interventions: Do learning gains and improved teacher practices persist?

Volker Schoer and Adeola Oyenubi, Advancing at the cost of others? Can interventions in the education sector exacerbate the gap between performing and underperforming learners?

Session E3
Energy
economics and
the environment

Palm

Anna Oosthuizen, Roula Inglesi-lotz and George Thopil, The relationship between renewable energy and retail electricity prices: Panel evidence from OECD countries

Akindele Ogunsola and Christian Tipoy, Determinants of Energy Consumption in Africa Oil Exporting Countries

Vanessa Ndlovu and Roula Inglesi-lotz, Optimal energy supply mix transition strategy from fossil fuel to renewables for South Africa

Hiywot Girma, Impact of Meat Consumption on Green House Gas Emissions in South Africa

Session E4
Finance and
governance

Jacaranda

Osmond Chigozie Agu, Determinants Of Private Investment In Nigeria: An Econometric Analysis.

Haruna Maama and Msizi Mkhize, Drivers of Integrated Reporting adoption: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

Alfred James Kimea and Msizi Mkhize, Institutional Investors, Corporate Governance and Firm Performance: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

David Babatunde and Richard O. Olayeni, Effects of Oil Wealth on Capital Accumulation in Nigeria: A Non-linear ARDL Approach.

Session E5
Job creation,
minimum wages,
education

Yellowwood

Peter Baur, The Impact of Minimum Wages within the Environmnet and Cultural Sector of South Africa

Promise Nduku, Zafeer Ravat and Nkululeko Tshabalala, Women in wage labour: A systematic review of the effectiveness and design features of interventions supporting women’s participation in wage labour in higher-growth and/or male-dominated sectors in LMICs

Frederick Fourie, In pursuit of Jobs Summit targets: What contribution can informal micro-enterprises make? What policy interventions can enable that?

Jesal Kika and Janeli Kotze, Unpacking Grade Repetition Patterns in Light of the Progression Policy in the Further Education and Training Phase

Session E6
Oil prices and
exchange rates

Cedarwood

Adebayo Kutu, Oil Price Shocks and Exchange Rate in Nigeria: Does Institution Quality Matter?

Mathew Rotimi, OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND EXCHANGE RATES IN AFRICA’S OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES: Forecasting Model

Mathew Rotimi, Investigating Oil Prices and Exchange Rates Nexus in Nigeria: ARDL Approach

Ojo Johnson Adelakun and Harold Ngalawa, Monetary union and inflation dynamics: The case of the West Africa Monetary Zone (WAMZ)

Session E7
Special
session:
Development of
a financial CGE
model for South
Africa

Cypress

Peter Dixon, Maureen Rimmer, Heinrich Bohlmann and Jan van Heerden, Development of a financial CGE model for South Africa

Wednesday13:30 - 14:30
Phomolong
Lunch
Wednesday14:30 - 16:00Parallel Sessions F
Session F1
Monetary policy
Ash

Tatonga Gardner Rusike, Foreign Investors in South African Government Bonds- Do We Know Their Impact on Bond Yields And Volatility?

Nicholas Spearman, Are Transaction Services Important for Understanding Bank Balance Sheets and Policy Transmission?

Jonathan Famoroti and Chris Tipoy, Regime-Switching Monetary Policy and Economic Fluctuations: Cote D’ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria and Senegal experience

Duduile Ndlovu and Philippe Burger, Monetary policy spillovers in the SACU area

Session F2
Health and
health care

Beech

Uma Kollamparambil and Frikkie Booysen, Inequality in non-communicable disease multi-morbidity among South Africans: A gender-specific cross-sectional decomposition analysis

Fru Wanka, Coretta Jonah and Julian May, To Work or Not to Work? Child Stunting and Maternal Labour Supply in South Africa

Winnie Sambu and Martin Wittenberg, What are the trends and dynamics of child malnutrition in South Africa?

Frederik Booysen, Miracle Ntuli and Prudence Kwenda, Multiple chronic conditions and healthcare utilisation within the context of national health insurance

Session F3
Resources/commodities
Palm

Chinelo Umezurike, the impact of commodity prices on economic growth in selected African countries: panel data analysis

Harold Ngalawa and Grynberg Roman, Diamonds Are Not Forever: Production and Trade of Diamonds in Botswana

Rexford Kweku Asiama, Foreign Aid, Dutch Disease and Manufacturing in African Countries

Carolyn Chisadza, Matthew Clance and Rangan Gupta, Oil discoveries and Conflict

Session F4
SA macro policy
Jacaranda

Ojo Johnson Adelakun and Karima Yousfi, Monetary Policy Shocks and Macroeconomic Fundamentals in South Africa

Lenhle Dlamini, Macroprudential policy and house prices in South Africa: A VECX model

Baneng Naape, Is the Co-Movement Between Budget Deficit and Current Account Deficit Applicable to South Africa?

Malibongwe Nyati, Christian Tipoy and Paul Muzindutsi, Creating a Macroprudential Policy Tool for Financial Stability: Evidence From South Africa.

Session F5
Determinants of
growth

Yellowwood

Roseline Karambakuwa and Ronney Ncwadi, Growth of African countries and trade structure

Mapule Mofokeng and Latif Alhassan, Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) and Economic Growth: A Sectoral Analysis from Developing Countries

Manoel Bittencourt, Rangan Gupta, Philton Makena and Lardo Stander, Socio-Political Instability and Growth Dynamics

Ifeoma Anthonia Iwegbunam, Employment Ratio, Consumption Expenditure, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Emerging Economy: the Spillover Effects

Session F6
Public finance,
government
spending, debt

Cedarwood

Olalekan Bashir Aworinde, The Abrams curve of Government Size and Unemployment: Evidence from 13 African Oil Exporting Countries

Gilbertha Mulenga and Gerry Bokana, Determinants of External Public Debt Accumulation in Zambia

Bongumusa Prince Makhoba, Investigating the Non-linear Effect of Public Debt on Economic Growth in SADC Region

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu, Lorrain Greyling and Nkanyiso Mbatha, Government expenditure and economic growth: Testing for nonlinear effect among SADC countries, 1993-2017

Session F9
Posters
session! For
the first time
at ESSA,
students papers
in poster
format.

Baobab

Nadia Matulich and Debra Shepherd, A Longitudinal Study of the Influence of Social Identity, Out-group Exposure and Affirmative Action Policies on the Academic Success of Undergraduate Students at Stellenbosch University

Sasha-lee Nelson, Infrastructure development and tourism growth in East Africa

Matlhogonolo Mashitisho, The Role of Positive incentives in facilitating behaviour changes of road users in South Africa

Ewert Kleynhans, The contribution of intellectual capital to the economic performance of South Africa manufacturers

Euné Coetzee, Examining the interaction between pedestrians and drivers: An institutional approach

Leone Walters, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance, Human Capital Development and Ethnic Institutions

Aliska Ludick, Determining the impact of affordable housing development on property prices of adjacent neighbourhoods in South Africa.

Siobhan Hitchcock, Gender Bias in the Field of Economics: An Analysis of South African Academia

Lunga Swelindawo, A Transaction-Cost Politics Analysis of the Delayed Implementation of AARTO

Wednesday16:00 - 16:30 Coffee & tea
Wednesday16:30 - 18:00Parallel Sessions G
Session G1
Economic
history: human
capital,
infrastructure,
growth

Ash

Johan Fourie and Dieter von Fintel, Bacchus's bequest: The persistence of Huguenot wine-making skills in South Africa

Roy Havemann, South Africon economic accelerations, 1750 to 2050

Abel Gwaindepi, The ‘minerals-railway complex’ and its effects on colonial public finances in the British Cape Colony, 1810-1910

Session G2
Micro data:
households,
consumption,
employment

Beech

Martin Wittenberg, Measuring consumption in a time of crisis: What can we learn from the 2008/09 Living Conditions Survey?

Amy Thornton and Martin Wittenberg, Restoring Representativeness to South African Household Survey Data with Cross-Entropy Weight Recalibration

Justin Visagie and Ivan Turok, Rural-urban migration and economic mobility: South Africa as a litmus test

Andrew Kerr and Martin Wittenberg, Employment and earnings data in South Africa

Session G3
Finance,
capital flows,
trade

Palm

Sheunesu Zhou and Dev Tewari, Shadow Banking, Cross Boarder Shocks and Financial Stability in Emerging Economies: A Global VAR analysis

Julius Kuziva Tinashe Nyamwena, The Effect of Foreign Capital Inflows on Economic Growth in South Africa

Brian Tavonga Mazorodze, Trade and Efficiency of Manufacturing Industries in South Africa

Sipho Mtombeni, Daniela Bove and Tankiso Thibane, An analysis of finance as a barrier to entry and expansion for emerging farmers

Session G4
Finance,
investment,
banking

Jacaranda

Damilola Aboluwodi, Prince Sarpong and Paul-francois Muzindutsi, Analysis of Efficiency, Performance and Sustainability of Real Estate Investment Trusts In South Africa

Ramaele Moshoeshoe and Katleho Thokoa, Market Structure and Bank Conduct in Lesotho

Sophie Kasse Kengne and Stephen Hosking, A Vector Error Correction Model of the South African Banks Stock Prices

Johan Coetzee, The future of banking: a fight for data

Session G5
Finance and
development

Yellowwood

James Atta Peprah, Harold Ngalawa and Isaac Kwasi Ofori, Capital flight, private investment, tax revenue and economic growth in SSA: A move to financing the SDGs

Rexford Kweku Asiama, Government Policies, Exports and Economic Growth in African countries

Omolola Adeola, Murray Leibbrandt and Mark Ellyne, Impact of foreign financial flows on poverty in middle-income countries and the BRICS

Paul Gbahabo and Meshach Aziakpono, Does structural economic transformation drive inclusive growth and development? New evidence from industrial upgrading in Africa

Session G6
Thought
Cedarwood

Robert Vivian, Definition of the science of economics and the reality of the neo-classical economics framework

John Hart, Naturalism and the elimination of dissent in economics

Florence Ramasela Sethole and Edwin Matletleretsa Sebola, Reconstruction and Development Programme: An Afrocentric analysis of the historical developments, challenges and Remedies

Makhura Benjamin Rapanyane and Dominic Maphaka, An Afrocentric analysis of Radical Economic Transformation in South Africa, 2014-2017

Session G7
Art, banks,
universities,
and the current
account

Cypress

Nwabisa Florence Ndzama, Is South Africa’s current account sustainable? – Analysis using intertemporal solvency framework

Tumi Vuyolwethu Nkohla, Munacinga Simatele, Ncwadi Ronney and Nyakomo Marwa, A non-parametric assessment of efficiency of South African public Universities

Peter Baur, Analysing the Impact of BREXIT on Artists Careers within the United Kingdom by examining the market for 'Fine Art'.

Zolani Sita, Determinants on competition in the South African banking sector

Wednesday19:00 - 
Serengeti Lapa
Conference dinner
Thursday08:00 - 08:30
Atrium centre
Registration
Thursday08:30 - 10:00Parallel Sessions H
Session H1
Special
session:
Monetary policy

Ash

Monique Brigitte Reid, Hanjo Odendaal and Stan du Plessis, The impact of the inclusion of an anchor number in the inflation expectations survey question

Alberto Coco and Nicola Viegi, The monetary policy of the South African Reserve Bank: stance, communication and credibility*

Dawid van Lill and Hylton Hollander, A Review of the South African Reserve Bank’s Financial Stability Policies

Session H2
Well-being/
happiness

Beech

Sanele Gumede and Nezeka Damoyi, Income and Happiness in South Africa: A System GMM Approach

Mduduzi Biyase, Bianca Fisher and Marinda Pretorius, Remittances and subjective well-being: A static and dynamic panel approach to single-item and multi-item measures of happiness

Nouran Zenelabden, Johane Dikgang and Jugal Mahabir, Satisfaction with Basic services Delivery in South Africa : The effect of social comparison

Motshidisi Nthatisi and Martin Wittenberg, Changes in South African well-being between 2008/09 and 2014/15: The evidence from expenditure and asset data

Session H3
Special
session:
Progress being
made in the
introduction of
CORE's The
Economy for the
teaching of
undergraduate
economics in
South Africa

Palm

Kenneth Creamer, Reza Daniels, Jessica Schroenn-goebel and Colette Muller, Progress being made in the introduction of CORE's The Economy for the teaching of undergraduate economics in South Africa

Session H4
Households and
finance

Jacaranda

Anthea Paelo, The effect of the competitive dynamics in the mobile money sector on pricing and firm strategies: A Ugandan Case Study

Nobantu Mkhwanazi and Nthabiseng Moleko, Online Stokvels for financial inclusion in South Africa: Adoption and Challenges

Yi Ren Thng, Regulation of Shadow Banking in Emerging Markets: Experiences and Options

Session H5
Households and
labour

Yellowwood

Uma Kollamparambil, Assortative mating and income inequality in South Africa: An unconditional quantile regression analysis

Thami Hlekiso, Influences on fluctuations in the South Afica's labour force participation

Amy Thornton and Martin Wittenberg, Gender and Household Formation in a High-Inequality Developing Country

Sibahle Siphokazi Magadla, Murray Leibbrandt and Cecil Mlatsheni, Does a Motherhood Penalty Exist in the Post-apartheid South African Labour Market?

Session H6
East African
economies

Cedarwood

Gbenga Akinola and Josue Mbonigaba, Productivity Effects of Human Capital among the East African Countries: Evidence from Health and Higher Education

Omolola Adeola and Meshach Aziakpono, Unlocking the relationship between capital flows and economic growth in a small open economy of Kenya: An empirical investigation

Liz Diana Nyachieo, The Nexus between Financial Inclusion, Profitability and Stability: A Case Study of Commercial Banks in Kenya.

Peter Bagumhe, The Impact of East African Community on Export and FDI Inflows in Tanzania

Session H7
The environment
Cypress

Sasha Earle and Gavin Fraser, Analyzing the Anthropogenic Allee Effect in cycad (encephalartos species) populations in South Africa

Vusi Mbewana, The determinants of food security status among indigent rural households in the Isikelo community of the Mbizana local municipality, Eatern Cape Province: South Africa

Frank Bannor, Interdependence between crop yield and weather elements in Sub Saharan Africa

Kevin Rugaimukamu, Edwin Muchapondwa and Djiby Thiam, The Impact of Household Energy Transition on Household Welfare Indicators in Tanzania

Thursday10:00 - 10:30 Coffee & tea
Thursday10:30 - 12:00Parallel Sessions I
Session I1
JPFPC session
on the
political
economy of
African
development

Ash

Leone Walters, Manoel Bittencourt and Carolyn Chisadza, Public Infrastructure Provision and Ethnic Favouritism: Evidence from South Africa

Lyndal Keeton and Giampaolo Garzarelli, State formation through fission, the case of Sub-Saharan Africa

Lumkile Mondi, The Political Economy of Restructuring Eskom 1985 and beyond.

Liz Diana Nyachieo and Jacob Chege, Impact of Institutions: Business Environment and Productivity Relationship in Kenyan Firms

Session I2
Tax, as well as
fiscal rules

Beech

Martin Nandelenga, Fiscal rules and the compliance debate: Why do countries adopt rules and fail to comply?

Christian Kakese Tipoy, The effect of A Value added Tax Increase on the South African Economy: a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model

Ezekiel Lengaram and Nyasha Mahonye, Evolution of Tax capacity and Tax effort in 21 African Economies

Baneng Naape and Nyasha Mahonye, Does South Africa’s Tax Effort fall short of its Tax Capacity?

Session I3
Higher
education
teaching

Palm

Heinrich Gerwel and Safiyya Karriem, Decolonization of the economics curriculum at South African Universities: the UCT School of Economics as case study

Cecile Duvenhage, A new and broader maths proficiency-measuring instrument for selection the of first-year Economics students.

Leigh Neethling, Recognition incentives and student outcomes: Evidence from a quasi-experiment

Nolwazi Biyela and Sanele Gumede, Challenges and Training Needs for Basic Economics Tutors in the University of KwaZulu-Natal

Session I4
Finance and
governance

Jacaranda

Nqala Lisa, Internal controls, SME’s, and economy of developing countries: case of South Africa

Damilola Oyetade and Paul-francois Muzindutsi, The impact of changes in Basel Capital Requirements on Bank Values and Financial Performance in South Africa

Oloyede Obagbuwa, INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDERS’ MONITORING AND CONTROL OVER CORPORATE ACTIONS: EVIDENCE FROM JSE LISTED COMPANIES.

Gabriel Samuel, Lesley Stainbank and Farai Kwenda, An Assessment of the Nature and Prevalence of Real Activity Manipulation among Quoted Companies in Nigeria

Session I5
Households,
spending,
finance, debt

Yellowwood

Temitope Lydia Leshoro and Glenda Maluleke, The Impact of Rising Fuel Prices on Wages in South Africa: Analysis using the Impulse-Response Function

Godfrey Ndlovu, The distributional impact of access to finance on poverty: Evidence from Selected Countries in the Sub-Saharan Africa

Olugbenga Egbetokun and Gavin Fraser, Farming Households Food Demand in South Western Nigeria: An Application of Substitution Elasticity Demand System (SEDS)

Session I6
FDI in Africa
Cedarwood

Darlington Chizema and Ewert Kleynhans, Investment motives of South African retailers expanding to the rest of Africa

Henri Bezuidenhout, Effective strategies followed by multinational enterprises to expand into Africa

Parfait Bihkongnyuy Beri and Gabila Fohtung Nubong, Investment Climate Reforms and Foreign Direct Investment Flows to Africa

Paul Wabiga, Foreign Acquisition and Firm Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa. "Empirical Evidence from Ghana"

Session I7
Capital flows,
and also
exports

Cypress

Kabeya Clement Mulamba, Re-examining South Africa’s export to African countries: A spatial gravity model approach

Phaswane Moatlegi Mphahlele, Hugo Nel and Sibanisezwe Alwyn Khumalo, Active vs Passive Portfolio Management: An Empirical Analysis Of Selected South African Equity Funds.

Kehinde Damilola Ilesanmi and Devi Datt Tewari, Systematic risk and its impact on financial stability in some African economies

Julius Kuziva Tinashe Nyamwena, An Empirical study on the relationship between capital flight and economic growth in South Africa.

Thursday12:00 - 13:00
Baobab
Keynote address: James Robinson - The narrow corridor
Thursday13:00 - 14:00
Boma
Lunch